PPAP 4Q23 Review: Net Profit Plunges 34% YoY

Equity Report / March 26, 2024

 

 

 

 

Performance Highlights

FY ends Dec (KHR bn) 4Q23 % QoQ % YoY 2023 % YoY
Revenue 33.44 -0.20 0.02 142.04 -4.6%
EBITDA 16.97 -0.03 -0.21 68.39 -24.0%
EBIT 12.03 -0.05 -0.31 49.51 -33.2%
Finance cost 0.12 -0.44 -0.68 0.61 -15.0%
PBT 12.15 -0.05 -0.32 50.12 -33.0%
Net profit 9.59 -0.03 -0.34 38.61 -34.9%
EBITDA margin 50.7% 9.0% -14.9% 48.1%pt -12.3%pt
EBIT margin 36.0% 5.8% -17.1% 34.9%pt -14.9%pt
Net margin 28.7% 5.0% -15.5% 27.2%pt -12.7%pt
 

PPAP 4Q23 Review: Net Profit Plunges 34% YoY

Container throughputs up 2.9% YoY in 4Q23, but down 5.1% YoY in 2023

  • In 4Q23, container throughput slightly increased 2.9% YoY to 91,186 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs). On the other hand, the total volume of the containers decreased by 6.7% in 4Q23 compared to the same period last year. The decline in container traffic can be attributed mainly to a 18.9% YoY decrease in import shipments to 265,796 tons, while export shipments grew moderately by 8.1% YoY to 293,422 tons. However, total cargo shipments in 4Q23 rose slightly by 1.8% YoY, driven by 37.1% growth in general cargo shipments.

  • In 2023, annual container throughputs decreased by 5.1% YoY to 396,225 TEUs, posting a negative growth for the first time since at least 2010. While container throughputs for exports grew 7.8% YoY, this was offset by a 7.7% YoY decrease in container throughputs for imports. Annual volume shipped through container cargoes edged down 0.2% YoY to 2.43 million tons. On the other hand, general cargoes rebounded, surging 20.6% YoY to 930,298 tons after experiencing two consecutive years of decline in 2021 and 2022. Meanwhile, oil & gas cargoes decreased 4.1% YoY to 783,901 tons.

Top line declines 4.6% YoY due to decrease in container traffic

  • PPAP earned KHR33.4bn in total revenue in 4Q23, up 1.8% YoY, driven mainly by the income from port services. Income from stevedoring and LOLO services grew modestly by 2.5% YoY and 0.1% YoY, respectively. Income from port services the 3rd largest revenue source soared 17.8% YoY to KHR5.52bn, due to the jump in passenger boat traffic with the recovery of the tourism activities.

  • Total revenue in 2023 dropped by KHR6.8bn or 4.6% YoY to KHR142bn due to the decrease in container throughputs. Major revenue sources showed a decline, with stevedoring dropping 5.4% YoY, LOLO falling 5.6% YoY, and storage plunging 49.9% YoY. Only port service posted a solid growth of 12% YoY, earning KHR19.8bn thanks to the rebound in the tourism activities.

EBITDA plunges 21.3% YoY in 4Q23

  • In 4Q23, despite a slight increase in revenue (+1.8% YoY) and a decrease in operating costs (-1.8%), the significant decline in other income by 79.4% YoY to KHR1.4 bn resulted in 21.3% YoY drop in EBITDA to KHR17bn. This decline led to a squeezing of the EBITDA margin by 14.9%pt YoY, down to 50.7%. The other income in 4Q23 decreased by KHR5.5bn YoY as the company earned KHR5.7bn in extraordinary income from net investment in sublease in 4Q22.

  • In 2023, EBITDA decreased by KHR21.6bn or 24.0% YoY to KHR68.1 bn. PPAP experienced a significant decline in other income, decreasing by KHR11.0bn from KHR10.6bn in 2022 to a deficit of KHR404mn in 2023 due mainly to the termination of land subleasing contract with a major business partner. In addition, despite the revenue drop, operating costs rose by KHR3.8bn or 5.5% YoY, driven mainly by KHR1.9bn increase in impairment loss on trade and other receivables due to increasing number of businesses facing financial difficulties (for example, evidenced by the rise in NPLs in the banking and microfinance sector). As a result, EBITDA and EBIT margin narrowed by 12.3%pt and 14.9%pt, respectively.

Net profit declines 34.0% YoY with net profit margin squeezed by 15.5%pt

  • In 4Q23, PPAP reported a net profit of KHR9.59 bn, marking a significant decline of 34.0% YoY. Net margin decreased by 15.5%pt YoY to 28.7%.

  • In the whole last year, net profit plummeted 34.9% YoY to KHR38.6bn with net margin squeezed by 12.7%pt YoY to 27.2% mainly due to the drop in other income mentioned above. The last trailing twelve months (ttm, up to 4Q23) EPS dropped to KHR1,587 from KHR2,784 in 4Q22. With the closing share price of KHR13,420 on March 20, 2024, the 4Q23 ttm P/E ratio came to 7.19x.

Container throughputs

Container throughputs 4Q23 % QoQ % YoY 2023 % YoY
TEUs 91,186 -28.7% 2.9% 396,225 -5.1%
Tonnage Ge0eral Ge0eral Ge0eral 0 Ge0eral
Import (tons) 265,796 -22% -19% 1,159,273 -8%
Export (tons) 293,422 -19% 8% 1,273,495 8%
Total (tons) 559,218 -20% -7% 1,873,550 -23%
Source: The Company

Container, general, and oil cargoes

Ton 4Q23 % QoQ % YoY 2023 % YoY
Container 559,218 -20.25% -6.70% 2,432,768 -0.18%
General 261,022 19.5% 37.1% 930,298 20.6%
Oil &gas 173,835 -0.1% -6.6% 783,901 -4.1%
Total 994,075 -9.1% 1.8% 4,146,967 3.0%
Source: The Company

Breakdown of revenue

Source of revenue 4Q23 % QoQ % YoY 2023 % YoY
Stevedoring 14,615 -23.4% 2.5% 61,998 -5.4%
LOLO 11,246 -24.8% 0.1% 49,004 -5.6%
Port services 5,525 10.0% 17.8% 19,822 12.0%
Storage 440 -3.9% -24.8% 2,042 -49.9%
Others 530 -76.8% -74.4% 9,169 -4.6%
Total 33,437 -20.0% 1.8% 142,035 -4.6%
Source: The Company

Financial Ratios

FY end to Dec 2020 2021 2022 4Q23 (ttm)
Per share ratios
EPS (KHR) 1,944 2,499 2,867 1,866
BPS (KHR) 31,529 34,129 37,211 38,520
BPS* (KHR, excluding Class C) 13,396 15,995 19,078 20,386
EBITDA/Shr (KHR) 2,977 3,686 4,350 3,586
SPS (KHR) 5,333 6,054 7,195 6,870
DPS (KHR, of Class A) 333 334 334 -
Share Price 11,700 14,700 14,900 14,000
Valuation ratios
P/E (x) 6.02 5.88 5.20 7.50
P/B (x) 0.37 0.43 0.40 0.36
P/B*(x, excluding Class C) 0.87 0.92 0.78 0.69
EV/EBITDA (x) 4.26 4.65 3.96 4.61
P/S (x) 2.19 2.43 2.07 2.04
Dividend yield on end-period close (%, of Class A) 2.84 2.27 2.24 -
Dividend yield on current price (%, of Class A) 2.36 2.36 2.36 -
Dividend yield on IPO price (%, of Class A) 6.50 6.52 6.52 -
Dividend payout (%, of Class A)** 17.12 13.36 11.64 -
Dividend payout (%) 10.26 7.98 5.52 -
Profitability ratios
EBITDA margin (%) 55.83 60.88 60.47 52.21
EBIT (%) 45.67 49.99 49.79 38.92
Net margin (%) 37.26 41.21 45.80 27.17
ROE (%) 6.47 7.60 9.24 3.98
ROE* (%, excluding Class C) 15.78 16.98 18.79 7.53
ROA (%) 4.97 5.95 7.14 3.05
Efficiency ratios
Asset turnover (x) 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.14
Receivables turnover (x) 7.34 9.01 9.42 13.89
Financial strength
Total Debt/ Total Equity (%) 14.12 12.12 10.11 8.61
Net debt/equity (%) 3.15 7.13 6.21 6.62
Interest coverage (x) 12.55 14.75 18.13 10.68
Inter & ST debt cover (x) 4.36 4.79 5.65 10.68
Current ratio (x) 3.86 1.88 1.85 1.44
Quick ratio (x) 3.86 1.79 1.70 1.30
Net debt/EBITDA (x) 0.33 0.66 0.53 0.71
EPS = Earnings Per Share; BPS = Book value Per Share; SPS = Sales Per Share; DPS = Dividend Per Share; Current price is closing price on the day of the report; *Excluding capital of Class C shares that are wholly held by the government; **DPS to Class A shares divided by EPS; Source: The Company, YSC Research

3/20/2024

Closing price KHR 13,420
IPO price KHR 5,120
 

Stock Info

Industry Transport Support Services
Market cap (KHRbn) 278
Outstanding shares (mn) 20.7
Majority shareholder 0.00
Ministry of Economy & Fin (%) 80
Avg daily vol. (last 6 months, shr) 241
Free floating shares (last 6 months, %) 1.99
Price low/high (last 6 months, KHR) 13,420 ~ 14,140
EPS (KHR) (ttm) 1,866
P/E (x) (ttm) 7.19
P/B (x) (mrq) 0.35
P/B* (x) (mrq) 0.66
EV/EBITDA (x) (ttm) 4.45
D/E (%) (mrq) 10.68
Note: ttm = trailing twelve months (Jan-2023 to Dec-2023); mrq = most recent quarter (4Q23); *Excluding equity of Class C (non-voting) shares.

Stock Performance

 

Trading Volume & Value in Last 12 Months

Month-Year Monthly trading Average per day
  Volume (shr) Value (KHR'mn) Volume (shr) Value (KHR'mn)
Feb-24 3,421 48 81 1.1
Jan-24 4,841 67 220 3.1
Dec-23 4,012 55 16 0.2
Nov-23 4,283 59 20 0.3
Oct-23 3,263 45 16 0.2
Sep-23 4,242 59 22 0.3
Aug-23 3,626 51 20 0.3
Jul-23 9,871 139 71 1.0
Jun-23 5,374 77 41 0.6
May-23 52,834 709 528 7.1
Apr-23 4,706 70 62 0.9
Mar-23 10,727 161 163 2.4
 

Earning Strength: EPS (TTM, KHR)

 

Quarterly Revenue (KHR'bn)

 

Quarterly Profit Margin (%)

 

Quarterly Revenue & Profit Growth (%)

 

Annual Revenue & Net Profit (KHR'bn)

 

Annual Profit Margin (%)

 

Annual Revenue & Profit Growth (%)

 

Condensed Financial Statements

Statement of comprehensive income

FY to Dec (KHR bn) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenues 110.2 110.3 125.2 148.8 142.0
Operating costs -50.2 -53.1 -56.6 -69.4 -73.2
Other income 10.6 4.4 7.6 10.6 -0.4
EBITDA 70.6 61.6 76.2 90.0 68.4
Depreciation & Amortization -12.6 -11.2 -13.6 -15.9 -18.9
EBIT 57.9 50.4 62.6 74.1 49.5
Finance costs 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.6
PBT 58.3 51.5 63.9 74.8 50.1
Income tax expense -11.5 -11.3 -12.2 -15.5 -11.5
Net profit of period 46.8 40.2 51.7 59.3 38.6
Other comprehensive income/(loss) 0.5 0.9 -0.1 8.9 -6.9
Comprehensive income 47.3 41.1 51.6 68.2 31.7
Comprehensive income

Statement of financial position

FY to Dec (KHR'mn) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Non-current assets 683 721 843 943 991
Properties, plants & equipment 316 359 411 465 517
Investment properties 346 343 355 357 357
Other non-current assets 21 19 78 121 117
Current assets 134 115 56 68 50
Trade receivables 28 43 18 32 29
Cash & cash equivalent 106 72 38 36 21
Total assets 818 836 899 1,011 1,041
Non-current liabilities 166 154 163 205 210
Long-term debts 93 84 76 68 59
Other non-current liabilities 74 71 88 136 151
Current liabilities 32 30 30 37 34
Trade & other payables 14 12 9 11 12
Other current liabilities 19 17 21 25 22
Total liabilities 199 184 193 241 244
Shareholders' equity 619 652 706 770 797
Share capital 458 458 458 458 458
Reserves 105 148 187 234 288
Development fund 0 0 0 0 0
Retained earnings 47 41 52 61 40
Other capital 9 5 9 17 11
Total liabilities & equity 818 836 899 1,011 1,041
 

Statement of cash flows

FY to Dec (KHR'mn) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Operating cash flow 51.8 39.9 89.7 60.7 60.3
Net profit 46.8 40.2 51.7 74.8 50.1
Depreciation & amortization 12.6 11.2 13.6 15.9 18.9
Chg in working capital 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Others -7.6 -11.5 24.4 -30.0 -8.7
Investing cash flow -32.0 -51.7 -57.3 -52.0 -52.2
Net CAPEX -28.2 -57.6 -72.0 -31.0 -61.4
Others -3.8 6.0 14.6 -21.0 9.2
Financing cash flow 0.0 -17.2 -16.7 -18.8 -17.5
Net chg in share capital 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net chg in debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash dividend -3.9 -4.1 -4.1 -4.4 -4.7
Net change in cash & equivalent 19.9 -29.0 15.7 -10.0 -9.4
Beginning cash & equivalent 61.3 39.6 10.9 35.2 25.5
Ending cash & equivalent 81.7 10.9 26.7 25.5 15.9
 

 

© Copyright 2022 Yuanta Securities (Cambodia) Plc. All Right Reserved